This is a lucid article in the March 6, 2020 NY Times. Link.
A mathematician who studies the spread of disease explains
some of the figures that keep popping up in coronavirus news.
The
news of coronavirus epidemics around the world involves a flood of numbers that
are a challenge for any nonscientist to digest. In this useful article Dr.
Kucharski to help us navigate some of these numbers, and tells us which ones we
should pay attention to.
The
article is well-worth reading.
Also
read:
Preventing
a covid-19 pandemic Link.
by John Watkins, Consulting Epidemiologist, Public Health
Wales, Cardiff, UK
BMJ
2020; 368 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m810 (Published 28 February 2020)
Cite this as: BMJ 2020;368:m810
We
should plan on the assumption that most of the population may contract the
virus with few or no long term effects, while harnessing vital secondary
healthcare resources to treat the small percentage of people who become
seriously ill.
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